BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Penn State
Class: 1A Class Rank: 8 Overall: (13-3) Overall Strength = 166.53
Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (8-2) | District: 1A-01 Record: (13-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Away W * 169.30 34 12 1A 63 ( 6- 7) West Virginia 3.00 -71.58 19.00
2 09/07/2024 Home W * 142.88 34 27 1A 76 ( 7- 6) Bowling Green -23.41 -13.91 30.41
3 09/21/2024 Home W * 160.60 56 0 1A 134 ( 0-12) Kent St -5.69 * 38.05 61.69
4 09/28/2024 Home W * * 164.09 21 7 1A 37 (10- 3) Illinois -2.21 7.13 16.21
5 10/05/2024 Home W * * 160.80 27 11 1A 56 ( 5- 7) UCLA -5.50 23.38 21.50
6 10/12/2024 Away W * * 164.38 33 30 1A 23 ( 7- 6) Southern Cal -1.92 -0.54 4.92
7 10/26/2024 Away W * * 167.43 28 13 1A 47 ( 5- 7) Wisconsin 1.13 0.42 13.87
8 11/02/2024 Home L * * 164.84 13 20 1A 1 (13- 2) Ohio State -1.45 -6.48 -5.55
9 11/09/2024 Home W * * 176.26 35 6 1A 48 ( 6- 7) Washington 9.97 13.21 19.03
10 11/16/2024 Away W * * 168.65 49 10 1A 104 ( 1-11) Purdue 2.35 * 30.01 36.65
11 11/23/2024 Away W * * 160.87 26 25 1A 24 ( 8- 5) Minnesota -5.43 9.27 6.43
12 11/30/2024 Home W * * 177.88 44 7 1A 67 ( 4- 8) Maryland 11.59 21.84 25.41
13 12/07/2024 Neutral L * * 156.86 37 45 1A 6 (13- 1) Oregon -9.43 -2.59 1.43
14 12/21/2024 Home W * 185.74 38 10 1A 14 (11- 3) SMU 19.45 2.05 8.55
15 12/31/2024 Neutral W * 170.95 31 14 1A 33 (12- 2) Boise St 4.66 11.07 12.34
16 01/09/2025 Neutral L * 169.20 24 27 1A 2 (14- 1) Notre Dame 2.90 -5.02 -5.90
Averages 166.30 33.1 16.5
Best game: 185.74 = 28 point win over SMU
Worst game: 142.88 = 7 point win over Bowling Green
Team stdev: 9.65